Current outlook

Notifications & Messages

Current theses

Decision checks

Predicted confidence vs. realized hit-rate. Points on the dashed diagonal are well-calibrated; above it under-confident, below it over-confident. Dot size ∝ sample size.

NFTs by wallet

Monetizing idle holdings

Idle yield — what the bag could earn doing nothing

Arbitrage viability by chain

Break-even is the spread a round trip must beat at that size, after both legs of DEX fees and slippage plus fixed gas. Gas is the term that decides it for a small book.

Watched wallets

Smart-wallet roster

Smart-wallet insights